Monday, December 24, 2018

Sweden: Waiting until after Christmas

Per the Seattle Times the Swedes are planning on holding their final two votes for Prime Minister in January. Two votes have failed so far.

Sweden’s parliament speaker says no more attempts at forming a new government will be made this year, after more than three months of political deadlock following elections. Speaker Andreas Norlen says that two more attempts will be made in January before elections must be called under Sweden’s Constitution.

If both attempts fail, a new election will be required.

Bloomberg has more details:

Parliament speaker Andreas Norlen said on Wednesday that he will meet again with party leaders on Jan. 14 and called for a prime minister vote two days later. If that fails, a final and fourth premier vote would then be held on Jan. 23 in a last ditch effort to avoid a new election.



So the speaker is trying to force compromise by setting specific dates for the final two votes. Of course, if the January 16th vote fails, will he back down? I suspect the only way that one of the two votes will succeed is if the Alliance, centre-right, coalition believes that they will lose seats if a new election is held. It then makes sense for the Centre Party to switch sides as indicated below.

The Local states:

Nor is it likely that either leader has managed to talk the Centre Party – currently the liberal kingmakers in the government negotiations – into throwing its support behind their party without anyone having either leaked this information or stated it outright in the media. Löfven said as late as Monday that there are no ongoing negotiations, and there have been no signals that the Centre Party has gone back on its decision not to support a centre-right government that would be dependent on far-right votes in parliament.

If the Centre Party (which is part of the Alliance), switches sides, then a new government could form under the leadership of the centre-left bloc. I believe they'd have to switch over and not just abstain from voting for the centre-left bloc.

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